Tuesday, February 21, 2017
Morgan Stanleys Liquidity Pool
Morgan Stanleys Liquidity Pool
Its now official: the week of September 15, 2008 was a really bad week to work in Morgan Stanleys prime brokerage. And the next week wasnt so hot either. Various internal documents released with the FCIC report provide a fairly detailed picture of Morgan Stanleys liquidity position during the crisis, and its not pretty. Prime brokers like Morgan Stanley relied heavily on customer cash held in prime brokerage accounts (known as free credits) to fund themselves. So when hedge funds all pulled their cash from Morgan Stanleys prime brokerage after Lehman failed, that had a direct effect on Morgan Stanleys liquidity pool.
On one day alone (Wednesday, September 17th), Morgan Stanleys prime brokerage lost $36.6 billion in free credits. Thats $36.6 billion instantly gone from the firms liquidity pool. To add insult to injury, that same day, prime brokerage customers also withdrew $12.3 billion of excess margin, which dealers also count toward their liquidity pool. For the week, Morgan Stanleys prime brokerage lost an amazing $86.5 billion in liquidity. And the next week, they suffered an additional $43.3 billion of outflows, for a two-week total of $129.8 billion. Thats a hell of a fortnight!
Overall, Morgan Stanleys liquidity pool was falling by tens of billions per day the firm was basically imploding. Without the government bailout, its pretty clear that they wouldnt have lasted another week.
****
Unfortunately, I had to pull the stats on Morgan Stanleys liquidity pool from the internal documents posted on the FCICs website, because the FCIC absolutely mangled the liquidity pool numbers in the actual report. They constantly confuse the parent companys liquidity pool with the firms overall liquid assets, which are two completely different measures. They include several dramatic statements like, Morgan Stanleys liquidity pool had dropped from $130 billion to $55 billion in one week, which isnt even close to right. In fact, they seem to have simply pulled that $130 billion number out of thin air, as its not in any of the underlying documents. At one point, they say that By the end of September, Morgan Stanleys liquidity pool would be $55 billion, and then cite to an email written on September 19th. (And the email was talking about parent company liquidity anyway!) Basically, its clear from the report that the FCIC didnt understand anything about liquidity management which, given the prominent role liquidity management played in the financial crisis, is pretty sad.
Available link for download